Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.850868 3.048543 3.260072 3.504479 3.780639 4.084868 4.447968
2025-12-14 2.487683 2.745283 3.036140 3.392892 3.824446 4.337499 5.006195
2025-12-21 2.316335 2.609716 2.953112 3.392211 3.950400 4.653803 5.638522
2025-12-28 2.177713 2.491949 2.869952 3.369280 4.029969 4.904240 6.207782
2026-01-04 2.030094 2.348401 2.738768 3.266667 3.986153 4.974391 6.523555
2026-01-11 1.945061 2.274688 2.686911 3.257993 4.060968 5.209264 7.113615
2026-01-18 1.899527 2.246419 2.689098 3.318188 4.232967 5.601146 8.023541
2026-01-25 1.995059 2.404715 2.946014 3.750651 4.994820 7.022309 11.128009
2026-02-01 1.877263 2.272555 2.799072 3.590039 4.831311 6.897966 11.235085
2026-02-08 1.763410 2.140776 2.646060 3.410429 4.621824 6.668096 11.069190
2026-02-15 1.702488 2.078224 2.586502 3.365995 4.625760 6.816703 11.774861
2026-02-22 1.638214 2.008264 2.512830 3.294941 4.578624 6.864169 12.259876
2026-03-01 1.558062 1.919158 2.415948 3.195447 4.497868 6.881587 12.805558
2026-03-08 1.482414 1.834098 2.321996 3.096362 4.412350 6.886130 13.359482
2026-03-15 1.441645 1.795593 2.292864 3.096025 4.497309 7.245512 15.082058
2026-03-22 1.399059 1.752322 2.253935 3.076275 4.544113 7.533764 16.780036
2026-03-29 1.341636 1.685437 2.176410 2.987830 4.454402 7.505348 17.400674
2026-04-05 1.309096 1.653024 2.149031 2.980342 4.516228 7.834873 19.605042
2026-04-12 1.293511 1.644369 2.156965 3.032270 4.698345 8.494535 23.909789
2026-04-19 1.350747 1.745069 2.339541 3.402796 5.587916 11.350872 48.329927
2026-04-26 1.293354 1.671766 2.242817 3.265701 5.373177 10.959673 47.489935
2026-05-03 1.234980 1.595565 2.139214 3.111673 5.110561 10.384285 44.269888
2026-05-10 1.203933 1.559931 2.099700 3.073449 5.104226 10.621928 50.317897